how do you see the election standing now five weeks out? >> well, right now five weeks out if you can have a solid small lead, he has it, okay? he has hit what i think are his ceiling numbers, 49%, 50%, 51% in the state. hard to imagine in any of these battleground states with maybe the exception of ohio and iowa how he gets to, quote, 52% or even 53%. so he's at a ceiling. he's at about topped out. the question is how much coalescing happens around romney? i think you're seeing some of it now, and that's why he's popping among likely voters in particular. there's one other thing the obama folks have to worry about, we see evidence of it in our own polling, and it also explains why there's such a massive difference between registered voters back and forth between obama and romney and the likely voters. there is still an enthusiasm gap that favors the republicans. the republicans are fired up to vote against obama. whether they're fired up for romney, forget that question right now. they're fired up to vote out obama. you don't see that amon